According to polls, social democrats could become the largest political group, almost a third of seats fall to right-wing and anti-eu parties
Elections for the european parliament at the end of may. It can be amed that right-wing, nationalist and anti-european parties will become significantly stronger. The decision in switzerland to oppose "mass immigration" from eu countries has challenged the right-wing populist parties and their slogans in other eu countries. They have now increasingly switched from anti-muslim to anti-european, because that apparently goes down better.
Plenary hall of the european parliament in strasbourg. Image: claude truong-ngoc.0
According to an initial analysis of recent polls in the 28 european member states by pollwatch 2014, a project of votewatch europe together with burson-marsteller and europe decides, the social democrats and socialists (sd) gained 27 seats, bringing their total to 221.
Thus, it became the coarsest group so far of the european people’s party (epp), which consists of parties of the center and the moderate right, first and foremost cdu. The epp was to lose almost a quarter – but not the union – and have only 202 seats instead of 274. Whether this is good news for the candidate of the european socialists, martin schulz, to be elected as president of the parliament, remains to be seen.
It does not look good for liberals and greens either. According to the polls, the former shrank from 85 to 64 seats, mainly due to the losses of the german and british liberals; in spain and romania, however, the liberals were allowed to make gains. The grune group. The french grunen then had only 5 of the now 16 deputies, the german grunen also lost 3 seats and now have 11. The greens in austria and belgium, on the other hand, gained a few seats, while italy and lithuania gained new deputies.
The european parliament consists of 751 members. If the polls give a correct picture of the mood on election day, the three groups of conservatives, liberals and social democrats together still had a majority of 64 percent, which is much smaller than before, but still enough if they were united.
The confederal group of the european united left (gue. The left-wing parties from france, greece (syriza) and spain in particular are gaining seats, while the german left-wing party will be able to send one more deputy.
The number of meps not (yet) belonging to any political group almost triples to 92 seats, including meps from the front national, the italian 5-star movement, the afd and the czech action of dissatisfied citizens (ano 2011).
The conservative, anti-eu european conservatives and reformists (ecr), which include the british conservatives, the czech ods or the polish pis, and the right-wing, also anti-eu efd (europe of freedom and democracy), which includes ukip and the lega nord, fear losing their parliamentary group status. According to the poll, the ecr falls from 57 to 42 seats, the efd from 31 to 30. 25 members from at least 7 eu countries are required to form a parliamentary group. What is possible, however, is a merger of the right-wing anti-eu parties front national, wilders pvv, the fpo, vlaams belang, the sweden democrats and lega nord.
It is not yet a landslide to the right, but almost 30 percent of the mps reject the eu and want at least a stronger renationalization. They are growing primarily at the expense of the tempered conservatives.
In france, the front national could become the strongest party with 23 percent and in the netherlands the wilderspartei with 16.6 percent, in germany the afd could count on a few deputies, in austria the fpo could become the strongest or second strongest party, also das neue osterreich and liberales forum (neos), the new liberal party will enter the european parliament.
In greece, syriza will receive the most votes, the far-right chrysi avgi could be in third place with just over 10 percent. In poland, the right-wing pis is the strongest force; in italy, the social-democratic pd is in first place, followed by the mivimento a 5 stelle and forza italia; in the uk, ukip is second only to labour with 26 percent; in hungary, the ruling fidesz can count on almost half of the vote, followed by the socialists and right-wing jobbik.